Interpretation of “ForexMetrics Currency Index”

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“ForexMetrics Currency Index” is a barometer to measure overall relative global economic growth and inflation based on value of major global convertible currencies.

FMCI does not only represent a single global currency, but also determines global economic cycle.

Refer to following table for details :

 

ForexMetrics Currency Index Table
           
      From To  
Index Range   0.0001 0.9949  
Economic Cycle Depression      
Growth Rate Negative   -1.00% -5.00%  
Inflation Rate High 10.00% Above  
Net Growth Negative      
Interest Rates Very Low 0% 1.00%  
Remedy   Interest Rate at lowest level & Boost in Government Spending
Index Range   0.9950 1.1310  
Economic Cycle Recession      
Growth Rate Negative 0.00% -1.00%  
Inflation Rate Medium 3.00% 10.00%  
Net Growth Negative      
Interest Rates Low 0% 1.00%  
Remedy   Expect Interest Rate Low and Increased Government Spending
Index Range   1.1311 1.1949  
Economic Cycle Slow Growth      
Growth Rate Positive 0.00% 2.00%  
Inflation Rate Medium 3.00% 5.00%  
Net Growth Negative      
Interest Rates Low 1.00% 5.00%  
Remedy   Expect Increase in Interest Rates
Index Range   1.1950 1.2449  
Economic Cycle Stagflation      
Growth Rate Positive 2.00% 4.00%  
Inflation Rate Medium 3.00% 5.00%  
Net Growth Balance      
Interest Rates Low 3.00% 8.00%  
Remedy   Interest Rate Increase or Cut depending on Economic Data  
Index Range   1.2450 1.3150  
Economic Cycle High Growth      
Growth Rate Positive 3.00% 7.00%  
Inflation Rate High 4.00% 7.00%  
Net Growth Balance      
Interest Rates Medium 3.00% 8.00%  
Remedy   Expect Interest Rate Cut to Control Inflation
Index Range   1.3150 above  
Economic Cycle Inflation      
Growth Rate Positive 4.00% 10.00%  
Inflation Rate Highest 5.00% 15.00%  
Net Growth Positive      
Interest Rates High 5.00% 9.00%  
Remedy   Expect Major Interest Rate Cut to Control Inflation & Economy

 

 


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