Filed Under Forex Metrics Currency Index |
| Friday, December 18, 2009 |
| Forex Metrics Currency Index of Individual Currencies |
| CURRENCIES |
CURRENT FMCI |
PREVIOUS FMCI |
FMCI CHANGE |
FMCI % CHANGE |
FMCI ANALYSIS |
| USD |
1.1716 |
1.1674 |
0.0042 |
0.3588% |
|
| EUR |
1.6841 |
1.6795 |
0.0046 |
0.2733% |
|
| GBP |
1.8977 |
1.8936 |
0.0041 |
0.2139% |
|
| JPY |
0.0020 |
0.0020 |
0.0000 |
-0.5119% |
|
| CHF |
1.1231 |
1.1144 |
0.0087 |
0.7769% |
|
| CAD |
1.0987 |
1.0894 |
0.0093 |
0.8537% |
|
| AUD |
1.0420 |
1.0340 |
0.0080 |
0.7710% |
|
| NZD |
0.8296 |
0.8257 |
0.0039 |
0.4748% |
|
| HKD |
0.1414 |
0.1408 |
0.0005 |
0.3639% |
|
| SGD |
0.8320 |
0.8289 |
0.0031 |
0.3747% |
|
| FMCI |
0.9822 |
0.9776 |
0.0046 |
0.4735% |
|
| Upward |
Neutral |
Downward |
| Forex Metrics Currency Index and Continuous Moving Average of Index |
| |
C.M.A. |
CURRENT FMCI |
POINT DIFFERENCE |
PERCENTAGE DIFFERENCE |
ANALYSIS |
| USD |
1.2841 |
1.1716 |
-0.1125 |
-8.7580% |
|
| EUR |
1.8494 |
1.6841 |
-0.1653 |
-8.9370% |
|
| GBP |
2.2671 |
1.8977 |
-0.3694 |
-16.2947% |
|
| JPY |
0.0019 |
0.0020 |
0.0001 |
6.1740% |
|
| CHF |
1.1786 |
1.1231 |
-0.0555 |
-4.7120% |
|
| CAD |
1.1889 |
1.0987 |
-0.0902 |
-7.5889% |
|
| AUD |
1.0663 |
1.0420 |
-0.0243 |
-2.2817% |
|
| NZD |
0.8786 |
0.8296 |
-0.0490 |
-5.5779% |
|
| HKD |
0.1557 |
0.1414 |
-0.0144 |
-9.2249% |
|
| SGD |
0.8938 |
0.8320 |
-0.0617 |
-6.9087% |
|
| FMCI - CMA |
1.0764 |
0.9822 |
-0.0941 |
-8.7471% |
|
| C.M.A. = CONTINUOUS MOVING AVERAGE |
| Forex Metrics Currency Index - CURRENCY PAIR ANALYSIS |
| CURRENCY PAIR |
Ist Currency |
Current Trend |
2nd currency |
Current Trend |
FMCI-Analysis |
| EUR/USD |
-8.9370% |
|
-8.7580% |
|
|
| GBP/USD |
-16.2947% |
|
-8.7580% |
|
|
| USD/JPY |
-8.7580% |
|
6.1740% |
|
|
| USD/CAD |
-8.7580% |
|
-7.5889% |
|
|
| USD/CHF |
-8.7580% |
|
-2.2817% |
|
|
| AUD/USD |
-2.2817% |
|
-8.7580% |
|
|
| BUY |
HOLD |
SELL |
| Upward Trend |
Neutral Trend |
Downward Trend |
|
How to read Forex Metrics Currency Index and Continuous Moving Average
- Forex Metrics Currency Index quantifies fundamental changes in
individual economy as well as global economy by measuring the changes in relative currencies value through individual currency Index.
- Forex Metrics Currency Index represents Value of single global currency or Reserve Currency.
- Forex Metrics Currency Index upward movement indicates a positive fundamental outlook of global economic growth.
- Upward movement in Individual currency basket / index indicates a positive outlook of that particular economy.
- Forex Metrics Currency Index downward movement indicates a negative fundamental outlook of global economic growth.
- Downward movement in Individual currency basket / index indicates a positive outlook of that particular economy.
- Continuous Moving Average (CMA) of Forex Metrics Currency Index is a long term average that signifies long term fundamental outlook.
- FMCI greater than CMA Global economic outlook is Positive.
- FMCI less than CMA Global economic outlook is Negative.
- When FMCI crosses CMA, it signifies a fundamental change of trend.
- Difference between FMCI and CMA signifies intensity of boom or burst in global economic scenario.
- Higher the difference, higher the volatility in value of currencies and economic uncertainty.
- Small difference indicates stability in global economics and value of currencies.
- If CMA is greater than FMCI: Increasing difference between CMA and FMCI signifies severity in net global economic growth and recession/deflationary pressure.
- If CMA is greater than FMCI: Decreasing difference between CMA and FMCI signifies net global economic recovery and easing of recessionary/deflationary pressure.
- If CMA is less than FMCI: Increasing difference between CMA and FMCI signifies boom in net global economic growth and rising inflationary pressure.
- If CMA is less than FMCI: Decreasing difference between CMA and FMCI signifies stabilizing net global economic growth and easing inflationary pressure.
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How to read FMCI Currency Basket?
Forex Metrics Currency Index is based on 10 Major convertible currencies and it is an average of 10 currency indices.
- If CMA of a currency Basket is less than FMCI: Currency is Bullish.
- If CMA of a currency basket is greater than FMCI of basket: Currency basket is Bearish.
- If individual currency index is above its CMA, while CMA of FMCI is Negative, that particular currency index is read as bullish.
- If individual currency index is above its CMA, while CMA of FMCI is Positive, that particular currency index is read as relatively bullish.
- If individual currency index is below its CMA, while CMA of FMCI is Positive, that particular currency index is read as bearish.
- If individual currency index is below its CMA, while CMA of FMCI is Negative, that particular currency index is read as relatively bearish.
- Crossover of CMA over FMCI is change of trend of that particular basket.
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