Filed Under Forex Metrics Currency Index |
| Monday, December 21, 2009 |
| Forex Metrics Currency Index of Individual Currencies |
| CURRENCIES |
CURRENT FMCI |
PREVIOUS FMCI |
FMCI CHANGE |
FMCI % CHANGE |
FMCI ANALYSIS |
| USD |
1.1815 |
1.1716 |
0.0098 |
0.8406% |
|
| EUR |
1.6913 |
1.6841 |
0.0072 |
0.4275% |
|
| GBP |
1.9021 |
1.8977 |
0.0044 |
0.2343% |
|
| JPY |
0.0020 |
0.0020 |
0.0000 |
-0.7087% |
|
| CHF |
1.1292 |
1.1231 |
0.0062 |
0.5488% |
|
| CAD |
1.1109 |
1.0987 |
0.0122 |
1.1094% |
|
| AUD |
1.0369 |
1.0420 |
0.0051 |
-0.4861% |
|
| NZD |
0.8282 |
0.8296 |
0.0013 |
-0.1625% |
|
| HKD |
0.1427 |
0.1414 |
0.0013 |
0.9276% |
|
| SGD |
0.8373 |
0.8320 |
0.0053 |
0.6330% |
|
| FMCI |
0.9862 |
0.9822 |
0.0040 |
0.4072% |
|
| Upward |
Neutral |
Downward |
| Forex Metrics Currency Index and Continuous Moving Average of Index |
| |
C.M.A. |
CURRENT FMCI |
POINT DIFFERENCE |
PERCENTAGE DIFFERENCE |
ANALYSIS |
| USD |
1.2839 |
1.1815 |
-0.1024 |
-7.9782% |
|
| EUR |
1.8491 |
1.6913 |
-0.1578 |
-8.5341% |
|
| GBP |
2.2665 |
1.9021 |
-0.3643 |
-16.0750% |
|
| JPY |
0.0019 |
0.0020 |
0.0001 |
5.4116% |
|
| CHF |
1.1785 |
1.1292 |
-0.0493 |
-4.1820% |
|
| CAD |
1.1888 |
1.1109 |
-0.0779 |
-6.5530% |
|
| AUD |
1.0663 |
1.0369 |
-0.0293 |
-2.7520% |
|
| NZD |
0.8785 |
0.8282 |
-0.0503 |
-5.7218% |
|
| HKD |
0.1557 |
0.1427 |
-0.0130 |
-8.3694% |
|
| SGD |
0.8937 |
0.8373 |
-0.0564 |
-6.3091% |
|
| FMCI - CMA |
1.0762 |
0.9862 |
-0.0900 |
-8.3621% |
|
| C.M.A. = CONTINUOUS MOVING AVERAGE |
| Forex Metrics Currency Index - CURRENCY PAIR ANALYSIS |
| CURRENCY PAIR |
Ist Currency |
Current Trend |
2nd currency |
Current Trend |
FMCI-Analysis |
| EUR/USD |
-8.5341% |
|
-7.9782% |
|
|
| GBP/USD |
-16.0750% |
|
-7.9782% |
|
|
| USD/JPY |
-7.9782% |
|
5.4116% |
|
|
| USD/CAD |
-7.9782% |
|
-6.5530% |
|
|
| USD/CHF |
-7.9782% |
|
-2.7520% |
|
|
| AUD/USD |
-2.7520% |
|
-7.9782% |
|
|
| BUY |
HOLD |
SELL |
| Upward Trend |
Neutral Trend |
Downward Trend |
|
How to read Forex Metrics Currency Index and Continuous Moving Average
- Forex Metrics Currency Index quantifies fundamental changes in
individual economy as well as global economy by measuring the changes in relative currencies value through individual currency Index.
- Forex Metrics Currency Index represents Value of single global currency or Reserve Currency.
- Forex Metrics Currency Index upward movement indicates a positive fundamental outlook of global economic growth.
- Upward movement in Individual currency basket / index indicates a positive outlook of that particular economy.
- Forex Metrics Currency Index downward movement indicates a negative fundamental outlook of global economic growth.
- Downward movement in Individual currency basket / index indicates a positive outlook of that particular economy.
- Continuous Moving Average (CMA) of Forex Metrics Currency Index is a long term average that signifies long term fundamental outlook.
- FMCI greater than CMA Global economic outlook is Positive.
- FMCI less than CMA Global economic outlook is Negative.
- When FMCI crosses CMA, it signifies a fundamental change of trend.
- Difference between FMCI and CMA signifies intensity of boom or burst in global economic scenario.
- Higher the difference, higher the volatility in value of currencies and economic uncertainty.
- Small difference indicates stability in global economics and value of currencies.
- If CMA is greater than FMCI: Increasing difference between CMA and FMCI signifies severity in net global economic growth and recession/deflationary pressure.
- If CMA is greater than FMCI: Decreasing difference between CMA and FMCI signifies net global economic recovery and easing of recessionary/deflationary pressure.
- If CMA is less than FMCI: Increasing difference between CMA and FMCI signifies boom in net global economic growth and rising inflationary pressure.
- If CMA is less than FMCI: Decreasing difference between CMA and FMCI signifies stabilizing net global economic growth and easing inflationary pressure.
|
|
|
|
|
|
How to read FMCI Currency Basket?
Forex Metrics Currency Index is based on 10 Major convertible currencies and it is an average of 10 currency indices.
- If CMA of a currency Basket is less than FMCI: Currency is Bullish.
- If CMA of a currency basket is greater than FMCI of basket: Currency basket is Bearish.
- If individual currency index is above its CMA, while CMA of FMCI is Negative, that particular currency index is read as bullish.
- If individual currency index is above its CMA, while CMA of FMCI is Positive, that particular currency index is read as relatively bullish.
- If individual currency index is below its CMA, while CMA of FMCI is Positive, that particular currency index is read as bearish.
- If individual currency index is below its CMA, while CMA of FMCI is Negative, that particular currency index is read as relatively bearish.
- Crossover of CMA over FMCI is change of trend of that particular basket.
|
Comments