Filed Under Forex Metrics Currency Index |
| Tuesday, December 22, 2009 |
| Forex Metrics Currency Index of Individual Currencies |
| CURRENCIES |
CURRENT FMCI |
PREVIOUS FMCI |
FMCI CHANGE |
FMCI % CHANGE |
FMCI ANALYSIS |
| USD |
1.1890 |
1.1815 |
0.0076 |
0.6392% |
|
| EUR |
1.6982 |
1.6913 |
0.0069 |
0.4103% |
|
| GBP |
1.9031 |
1.9021 |
0.0010 |
0.0501% |
|
| JPY |
0.0020 |
0.0020 |
0.0000 |
-0.5979% |
|
| CHF |
1.1330 |
1.1292 |
0.0037 |
0.3294% |
|
| CAD |
1.1244 |
1.1109 |
0.0135 |
1.2166% |
|
| AUD |
1.0394 |
1.0369 |
0.0024 |
0.2349% |
|
| NZD |
0.8269 |
0.8282 |
0.0013 |
-0.1553% |
|
| HKD |
0.1436 |
0.1427 |
0.0010 |
0.6839% |
|
| SGD |
0.8417 |
0.8373 |
0.0044 |
0.5257% |
|
| FMCI |
0.9901 |
0.9862 |
0.0039 |
0.3974% |
|
| Upward |
Neutral |
Downward |
| Forex Metrics Currency Index and Continuous Moving Average of Index |
| |
C.M.A. |
CURRENT FMCI |
POINT DIFFERENCE |
PERCENTAGE DIFFERENCE |
ANALYSIS |
| USD |
1.2837 |
1.1890 |
-0.0947 |
-7.3781% |
|
| EUR |
1.8488 |
1.6982 |
-0.1506 |
-8.1457% |
|
| GBP |
2.2658 |
1.9031 |
-0.3627 |
-16.0094% |
|
| JPY |
0.0019 |
0.0020 |
0.0001 |
4.7726% |
|
| CHF |
1.1784 |
1.1330 |
-0.0455 |
-3.8599% |
|
| CAD |
1.1887 |
1.1244 |
-0.0643 |
-5.4072% |
|
| AUD |
1.0662 |
1.0394 |
-0.0269 |
-2.5193% |
|
| NZD |
0.8784 |
0.8269 |
-0.0515 |
-5.8586% |
|
| HKD |
0.1557 |
0.1436 |
-0.0120 |
-7.7303% |
|
| SGD |
0.8936 |
0.8417 |
-0.0519 |
-5.8070% |
|
| FMCI - CMA |
1.0761 |
0.9901 |
-0.0859 |
-7.9850% |
|
| C.M.A. = CONTINUOUS MOVING AVERAGE |
| Forex Metrics Currency Index - CURRENCY PAIR ANALYSIS |
| CURRENCY PAIR |
Ist Currency |
Current Trend |
2nd currency |
Current Trend |
FMCI-Analysis |
| EUR/USD |
-8.1457% |
|
-7.3781% |
|
|
| GBP/USD |
-16.0094% |
|
-7.3781% |
|
|
| USD/JPY |
-7.3781% |
|
4.7726% |
|
|
| USD/CAD |
-7.3781% |
|
-5.4072% |
|
|
| USD/CHF |
-7.3781% |
|
-2.5193% |
|
|
| AUD/USD |
-2.5193% |
|
-7.3781% |
|
|
| BUY |
HOLD |
SELL |
| Upward Trend |
Neutral Trend |
Downward Trend |
|
How to read Forex Metrics Currency Index and Continuous Moving Average
- Forex Metrics Currency Index quantifies fundamental changes in
individual economy as well as global economy by measuring the changes in relative currencies value through individual currency Index.
- Forex Metrics Currency Index represents Value of single global currency or Reserve Currency.
- Forex Metrics Currency Index upward movement indicates a positive fundamental outlook of global economic growth.
- Upward movement in Individual currency basket / index indicates a positive outlook of that particular economy.
- Forex Metrics Currency Index downward movement indicates a negative fundamental outlook of global economic growth.
- Downward movement in Individual currency basket / index indicates a positive outlook of that particular economy.
- Continuous Moving Average (CMA) of Forex Metrics Currency Index is a long term average that signifies long term fundamental outlook.
- FMCI greater than CMA Global economic outlook is Positive.
- FMCI less than CMA Global economic outlook is Negative.
- When FMCI crosses CMA, it signifies a fundamental change of trend.
- Difference between FMCI and CMA signifies intensity of boom or burst in global economic scenario.
- Higher the difference, higher the volatility in value of currencies and economic uncertainty.
- Small difference indicates stability in global economics and value of currencies.
- If CMA is greater than FMCI: Increasing difference between CMA and FMCI signifies severity in net global economic growth and recession/deflationary pressure.
- If CMA is greater than FMCI: Decreasing difference between CMA and FMCI signifies net global economic recovery and easing of recessionary/deflationary pressure.
- If CMA is less than FMCI: Increasing difference between CMA and FMCI signifies boom in net global economic growth and rising inflationary pressure.
- If CMA is less than FMCI: Decreasing difference between CMA and FMCI signifies stabilizing net global economic growth and easing inflationary pressure.
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How to read FMCI Currency Basket?
Forex Metrics Currency Index is based on 10 Major convertible currencies and it is an average of 10 currency indices.
- If CMA of a currency Basket is less than FMCI: Currency is Bullish.
- If CMA of a currency basket is greater than FMCI of basket: Currency basket is Bearish.
- If individual currency index is above its CMA, while CMA of FMCI is Negative, that particular currency index is read as bullish.
- If individual currency index is above its CMA, while CMA of FMCI is Positive, that particular currency index is read as relatively bullish.
- If individual currency index is below its CMA, while CMA of FMCI is Positive, that particular currency index is read as bearish.
- If individual currency index is below its CMA, while CMA of FMCI is Negative, that particular currency index is read as relatively bearish.
- Crossover of CMA over FMCI is change of trend of that particular basket.
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