Filed Under Forex Metrics Currency Index |
| Wednesday, December 23, 2009 |
| Forex Metrics Currency Index of Individual Currencies |
| CURRENCIES |
CURRENT FMCI |
PREVIOUS FMCI |
FMCI CHANGE |
FMCI % CHANGE |
FMCI ANALYSIS |
| USD |
1.1866 |
1.1890 |
0.0025 |
-0.2066% |
|
| EUR |
1.7049 |
1.6982 |
0.0067 |
0.3934% |
|
| GBP |
1.8998 |
1.9031 |
0.0033 |
-0.1744% |
|
| JPY |
0.0020 |
0.0020 |
0.0000 |
-0.0584% |
|
| CHF |
1.1412 |
1.1330 |
0.0082 |
0.7240% |
|
| CAD |
1.1315 |
1.1244 |
0.0071 |
0.6297% |
|
| AUD |
1.0422 |
1.0394 |
0.0029 |
0.2771% |
|
| NZD |
0.8323 |
0.8269 |
0.0054 |
0.6470% |
|
| HKD |
0.1434 |
0.1436 |
0.0003 |
-0.2039% |
|
| SGD |
0.8398 |
0.8417 |
0.0019 |
-0.2218% |
|
| FMCI |
0.9924 |
0.9901 |
0.0022 |
0.2248% |
|
| Upward |
Neutral |
Downward |
| Forex Metrics Currency Index and Continuous Moving Average of Index |
| |
C.M.A. |
CURRENT FMCI |
POINT DIFFERENCE |
PERCENTAGE DIFFERENCE |
ANALYSIS |
| USD |
1.2836 |
1.1866 |
-0.0970 |
-7.5573% |
|
| EUR |
1.8486 |
1.7049 |
-0.1437 |
-7.7718% |
|
| GBP |
2.2652 |
1.8998 |
-0.3654 |
-16.1323% |
|
| JPY |
0.0019 |
0.0020 |
0.0001 |
4.7029% |
|
| CHF |
1.1784 |
1.1412 |
-0.0372 |
-3.1584% |
|
| CAD |
1.1886 |
1.1315 |
-0.0571 |
-4.8035% |
|
| AUD |
1.0662 |
1.0422 |
-0.0239 |
-2.2454% |
|
| NZD |
0.8783 |
0.8323 |
-0.0460 |
-5.2408% |
|
| HKD |
0.1557 |
0.1434 |
-0.0123 |
-7.9057% |
|
| SGD |
0.8935 |
0.8398 |
-0.0537 |
-6.0061% |
|
| FMCI - CMA |
1.0759 |
0.9924 |
-0.0836 |
-7.7657% |
|
| C.M.A. = CONTINUOUS MOVING AVERAGE |
| Forex Metrics Currency Index - CURRENCY PAIR ANALYSIS |
| CURRENCY PAIR |
Ist Currency |
Current Trend |
2nd currency |
Current Trend |
FMCI-Analysis |
| EUR/USD |
-7.7718% |
|
-7.5573% |
|
|
| GBP/USD |
-16.1323% |
|
-7.5573% |
|
|
| USD/JPY |
-7.5573% |
|
4.7029% |
|
|
| USD/CAD |
-7.5573% |
|
-4.8035% |
|
|
| USD/CHF |
-7.5573% |
|
-2.2454% |
|
|
| AUD/USD |
-2.2454% |
|
-7.5573% |
|
|
| BUY |
HOLD |
SELL |
| Upward Trend |
Neutral Trend |
Downward Trend |
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How to read Forex Metrics Currency Index and Continuous Moving Average
- Forex Metrics Currency Index quantifies fundamental changes in
individual economy as well as global economy by measuring the changes in relative currencies value through individual currency Index.
- Forex Metrics Currency Index represents Value of single global currency or Reserve Currency.
- Forex Metrics Currency Index upward movement indicates a positive fundamental outlook of global economic growth.
- Upward movement in Individual currency basket / index indicates a positive outlook of that particular economy.
- Forex Metrics Currency Index downward movement indicates a negative fundamental outlook of global economic growth.
- Downward movement in Individual currency basket / index indicates a positive outlook of that particular economy.
- Continuous Moving Average (CMA) of Forex Metrics Currency Index is a long term average that signifies long term fundamental outlook.
- FMCI greater than CMA Global economic outlook is Positive.
- FMCI less than CMA Global economic outlook is Negative.
- When FMCI crosses CMA, it signifies a fundamental change of trend.
- Difference between FMCI and CMA signifies intensity of boom or burst in global economic scenario.
- Higher the difference, higher the volatility in value of currencies and economic uncertainty.
- Small difference indicates stability in global economics and value of currencies.
- If CMA is greater than FMCI: Increasing difference between CMA and FMCI signifies severity in net global economic growth and recession/deflationary pressure.
- If CMA is greater than FMCI: Decreasing difference between CMA and FMCI signifies net global economic recovery and easing of recessionary/deflationary pressure.
- If CMA is less than FMCI: Increasing difference between CMA and FMCI signifies boom in net global economic growth and rising inflationary pressure.
- If CMA is less than FMCI: Decreasing difference between CMA and FMCI signifies stabilizing net global economic growth and easing inflationary pressure.
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How to read FMCI Currency Basket?
Forex Metrics Currency Index is based on 10 Major convertible currencies and it is an average of 10 currency indices.
- If CMA of a currency Basket is less than FMCI: Currency is Bullish.
- If CMA of a currency basket is greater than FMCI of basket: Currency basket is Bearish.
- If individual currency index is above its CMA, while CMA of FMCI is Negative, that particular currency index is read as bullish.
- If individual currency index is above its CMA, while CMA of FMCI is Positive, that particular currency index is read as relatively bullish.
- If individual currency index is below its CMA, while CMA of FMCI is Positive, that particular currency index is read as bearish.
- If individual currency index is below its CMA, while CMA of FMCI is Negative, that particular currency index is read as relatively bearish.
- Crossover of CMA over FMCI is change of trend of that particular basket.
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