Filed Under Forex Metrics Currency Index |
| Thursday, December 24, 2009 |
| Forex Metrics Currency Index of Individual Currencies |
| CURRENCIES |
CURRENT FMCI |
PREVIOUS FMCI |
FMCI CHANGE |
FMCI % CHANGE |
FMCI ANALYSIS |
| USD |
1.1861 |
1.1866 |
0.0005 |
-0.0414% |
|
| EUR |
1.7073 |
1.7049 |
0.0024 |
0.1413% |
|
| GBP |
1.8977 |
1.8998 |
0.0021 |
-0.1106% |
|
| JPY |
0.0020 |
0.0020 |
0.0000 |
0.0173% |
|
| CHF |
1.1415 |
1.1412 |
0.0003 |
0.0266% |
|
| CAD |
1.1294 |
1.1315 |
0.0021 |
-0.1857% |
|
| AUD |
1.0455 |
1.0422 |
0.0033 |
0.3146% |
|
| NZD |
0.8335 |
0.8323 |
0.0012 |
0.1454% |
|
| HKD |
0.1432 |
0.1434 |
0.0001 |
-0.0803% |
|
| SGD |
0.8396 |
0.8398 |
0.0002 |
-0.0272% |
|
| FMCI |
0.9926 |
0.9924 |
0.0002 |
0.0218% |
|
| Upward |
Neutral |
Downward |
| Forex Metrics Currency Index and Continuous Moving Average of Index |
| |
C.M.A. |
CURRENT FMCI |
POINT DIFFERENCE |
PERCENTAGE DIFFERENCE |
ANALYSIS |
| USD |
1.2834 |
1.1861 |
-0.0973 |
-7.5834% |
|
| EUR |
1.8483 |
1.7073 |
-0.1410 |
-7.6293% |
|
| GBP |
2.2646 |
1.8977 |
-0.3669 |
-16.2014% |
|
| JPY |
0.0019 |
0.0020 |
0.0001 |
4.7124% |
|
| CHF |
1.1783 |
1.1415 |
-0.0369 |
-3.1274% |
|
| CAD |
1.1885 |
1.1294 |
-0.0591 |
-4.9721% |
|
| AUD |
1.0661 |
1.0455 |
-0.0206 |
-1.9345% |
|
| NZD |
0.8782 |
0.8335 |
-0.0447 |
-5.0946% |
|
| HKD |
0.1556 |
0.1432 |
-0.0124 |
-7.9669% |
|
| SGD |
0.8934 |
0.8396 |
-0.0538 |
-6.0218% |
|
| FMCI - CMA |
1.0758 |
0.9926 |
-0.0832 |
-7.7331% |
|
| C.M.A. = CONTINUOUS MOVING AVERAGE |
| Forex Metrics Currency Index - CURRENCY PAIR ANALYSIS |
| CURRENCY PAIR |
Ist Currency |
Current Trend |
2nd currency |
Current Trend |
FMCI-Analysis |
| EUR/USD |
-7.6293% |
|
-7.5834% |
|
|
| GBP/USD |
-16.2014% |
|
-7.5834% |
|
|
| USD/JPY |
-7.5834% |
|
4.7124% |
|
|
| USD/CAD |
-7.5834% |
|
-4.9721% |
|
|
| USD/CHF |
-7.5834% |
|
-1.9345% |
|
|
| AUD/USD |
-1.9345% |
|
-7.5834% |
|
|
| BUY |
HOLD |
SELL |
| Upward Trend |
Neutral Trend |
Downward Trend |
|
How to read Forex Metrics Currency Index and Continuous Moving Average
- Forex Metrics Currency Index quantifies fundamental changes in
individual economy as well as global economy by measuring the changes in relative currencies value through individual currency Index.
- Forex Metrics Currency Index represents Value of single global currency or Reserve Currency.
- Forex Metrics Currency Index upward movement indicates a positive fundamental outlook of global economic growth.
- Upward movement in Individual currency basket / index indicates a positive outlook of that particular economy.
- Forex Metrics Currency Index downward movement indicates a negative fundamental outlook of global economic growth.
- Downward movement in Individual currency basket / index indicates a positive outlook of that particular economy.
- Continuous Moving Average (CMA) of Forex Metrics Currency Index is a long term average that signifies long term fundamental outlook.
- FMCI greater than CMA Global economic outlook is Positive.
- FMCI less than CMA Global economic outlook is Negative.
- When FMCI crosses CMA, it signifies a fundamental change of trend.
- Difference between FMCI and CMA signifies intensity of boom or burst in global economic scenario.
- Higher the difference, higher the volatility in value of currencies and economic uncertainty.
- Small difference indicates stability in global economics and value of currencies.
- If CMA is greater than FMCI: Increasing difference between CMA and FMCI signifies severity in net global economic growth and recession/deflationary pressure.
- If CMA is greater than FMCI: Decreasing difference between CMA and FMCI signifies net global economic recovery and easing of recessionary/deflationary pressure.
- If CMA is less than FMCI: Increasing difference between CMA and FMCI signifies boom in net global economic growth and rising inflationary pressure.
- If CMA is less than FMCI: Decreasing difference between CMA and FMCI signifies stabilizing net global economic growth and easing inflationary pressure.
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How to read FMCI Currency Basket?
Forex Metrics Currency Index is based on 10 Major convertible currencies and it is an average of 10 currency indices.
- If CMA of a currency Basket is less than FMCI: Currency is Bullish.
- If CMA of a currency basket is greater than FMCI of basket: Currency basket is Bearish.
- If individual currency index is above its CMA, while CMA of FMCI is Negative, that particular currency index is read as bullish.
- If individual currency index is above its CMA, while CMA of FMCI is Positive, that particular currency index is read as relatively bullish.
- If individual currency index is below its CMA, while CMA of FMCI is Positive, that particular currency index is read as bearish.
- If individual currency index is below its CMA, while CMA of FMCI is Negative, that particular currency index is read as relatively bearish.
- Crossover of CMA over FMCI is change of trend of that particular basket.
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